Not Your Sweetie

[new] (#205) (Rated 5.00/2)

by Kramer (Kramer at forclark dot com) on 02/13/2004 06:58:47 PM EST

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On the last thread, Matt89 alleged that Dean had 182 pledged delegates vs. Clark's 68 pledged delegates.  To clearly correct him, that is not true.
Dean has 82 pledged delegates of 182 total delegates (100 super delegates--all of which will soon abandon him)
So Dean only had 14 more pledged delegates than General Clark, not 100+.  Matt's arguement was that Dean was second highest in delegate count to Kerry, implying that Dean could somehow win the delegate race.
It is simply not true that Dean can win the delegate race.  His superdelegate days are over--no one is lining up to join him, in fact, they are fleeing.  So as it stands, Dean has the fewest PLEDGED delegates out of Kerry, Edwards and Dean, and Clark was right on his heels.
Kerry has a total of 560 delegates, 147 of which are superdelegates (20 just moved after Clark dropped out).  So Kerry has won 413 delegates, more than 4x what Dean has won.
Edwards has 166 total delegates, 26 of which are super delegates.  He has won 140 delegates, clearly surpassing Dean.
Why print all this?

1. To show Matt89 the real count.
2. To prove that the odds of a brokered convention are nil.  
3. Kerry is the only candidate continuously picking up superdelegates, Dean is losing them, and Edwards has stalled.
4. To show the Deanie Pushers who want a brokered convention that the ride is over...the superdelegates will abandon, and Dean will have 82 delegates to Kerry's unstoppable sweep.
Just the facts.  Just reality.